Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 37 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Aneika Morello * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 29 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 26 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Celine Dumerc * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 26 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Nadia Colhado | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Amanda Thompson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ewelina Kobryn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter