Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 38 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. Hayes | 30 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 27 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 26 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| J. Thomas | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Dumerc | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Colhado | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Thompson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 16 | - |
| C. Dupree | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| P. Taylor | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Bonner | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Murphy | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Phillips | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Bass | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter