Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +9 (85-76). Ratings: 2015 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika de Souza * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 26 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 22 | 2-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 15 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Amanda Thompson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Swin Cash | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nadia Colhado | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiney Ogwumike * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kelsey Bone * | 24 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Alex Bentley * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 19 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kelley Cain | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter