Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (76-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 37 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 28 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Anna Cruz * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Avery Warley-Talbert * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alex Montgomery * | 22 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Charde Houston | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Swin Cash | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shanece McKinney | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry * | 33 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Celine Dumerc * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nadia Colhado | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Amanda Thompson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter