Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty +7 (85-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 34 | 10-25 | 3-5 | 10-11 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 22 | - |
| T. Hayes | 33 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 3-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| E. de Souza | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 19 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Thomas | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Dumerc | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Cash | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Thompson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 37 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 25 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 33 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | - |
| A. Cruz | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 18 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| P. Pierson | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| E. Carson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. McKinney | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Jeffery | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter