Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +4 (112-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 46 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 46 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 43 | 9-24 | 1-9 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 43 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 30 | 6-16 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Celine Dumerc | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Amanda Thompson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 45 | 16-30 | 7-9 | 9-11 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 48 | 30 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 45 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Monica Wright * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tan White | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tricia Liston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nadirah McKenith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter