Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 43 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 16 | - |
| E. de Souza | 40 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 34 | 5-20 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -1 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 29 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Hayes | 26 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Dumerc | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| N. Colhado | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Thomas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Thompson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Toliver | 40 | 5-19 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 1 | - |
| J. Lavender | 39 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| C. Parker | 38 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 18 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| A. Beard | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Gruda | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Herrington | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Harding | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter