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2014-06-07

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% - โœ—
Margin 57.1% 42.9% -1.6 โœ— (39.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 66.9% 33.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Dream +38 (97-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sasha Goodlett * 25 2-8 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
Elena Delle Donne * 25 3-10 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 7 2 -
Courtney Vandersloot * 23 2-7 0-0 1-2 1 7 2 0 4 5 4 -
Tamera Young * 22 0-6 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jessica Breland * 18 4-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 3 10 6 -
Allie Quigley 20 4-9 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 3 11 3 -
Jamierra Faulkner 17 4-10 0-2 1-1 2 2 1 1 6 9 -1 -
Courtney Clements 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 2 3 -
Gennifer Brandon 11 0-1 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 2 0 0 7 -
Markeisha Gatling 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 0 2 -
Epiphanny Prince 9 2-4 0-0 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 7 3 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sancho Lyttle * 26 6-14 0-1 3-4 12 4 4 0 0 15 21 -
Erika de Souza * 26 7-12 0-0 6-6 8 4 2 3 1 20 24 -
Tiffany Hayes * 26 3-9 3-4 2-2 5 3 0 0 1 11 9 -
Angel McCoughtry * 24 6-10 3-3 5-6 5 0 3 0 3 20 15 -
Jasmine Thomas * 16 2-5 1-2 1-2 0 4 0 0 0 6 5 -
Shoni Schimmel 23 4-12 1-6 1-2 3 4 1 0 3 10 3 -
Celine Dumerc 20 1-1 0-0 1-1 6 5 2 0 3 3 12 -
Swin Cash 12 2-7 0-2 0-2 3 1 0 1 0 4 2 -
Aneika Morello 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 2 2 0 -
Nadia Colhado 7 3-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 2 0 6 7 -
Amanda Thompson 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 4 -

* = starter