Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.5% | 27.5% | -5.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +14 (96-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Murphy | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| E. Phillips | 27 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| D. Bonner | 26 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 22 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Griner | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Bass | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Bias | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Dupree | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Henry-Morello | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 27 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| E. de Souza | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| C. Dumerc | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Hayes | 23 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Thomas | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Colhado | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Thompson | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter