Atlanta Dream
2010 Team Stats (41 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1123 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1080 (#5) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1025 (#5) | HCA +61 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +4.4 (#3) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +5.3 (#2) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.595 (#4) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.639 (#4) | AdjNet +5.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.640 (#4) | AdjNet +5.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.595 (#3) | AdjO 87.1 | AdjD 82.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.605 (#2) | AdjO 88.7 | AdjD 84.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.621 (#3) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.623 (#3) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1084 (#3) | RD 79 | GP 41 |
2010 Schedule & Results
2010 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Angel McCoughtry
|
F | 43 | 30.3 | 21.7 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 17.7 | 11.3 | - | - | - | - | 41.5 | 30.3 | 79.7 | - | 51.7 | 44.6 |
I. Castro
|
G | 42 | 29.4 | 16.8 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 14.5 | 4.7 | - | - | - | - | 44.7 | 30.2 | 62.8 | - | 51.7 | 49.3 |
D. Nowitzki
|
- | 39 | 28.4 | 12.4 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 9.9 | 15.0 | - | - | - | - | 48.6 | 0 | 75.5 | - | 53.9 | 48.6 |
E. de Souza
|
F | 41 | 25.7 | 12.0 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 9.6 | 12.1 | - | - | - | - | 56.0 | 0 | 58.9 | - | 57.0 | 56.0 |
C. Mokango
|
NA | 2 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | - | 36.4 | 66.7 | 100.0 | - | 50.5 | 45.5 |
A. Herrington
|
G | 43 | 18.4 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 5.7 | - | - | - | - | 37.3 | 0.0 | 59.2 | - | 44.2 | 37.3 |
C. Miller
|
G | 36 | 11.3 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.6 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 38.4 | 21.7 | 82.9 | - | 46.0 | 41.5 |
Y. Leuchanka
|
C | 39 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | - | - | - | - | 48.8 | 28.6 | 71.4 | - | 54.3 | 49.6 |
E. White
|
NA | 2 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 51.5 | 33.3 |
S. Lehning
|
NA | 42 | 21.7 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 6.6 | - | - | - | - | 45.1 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 51.5 | 50.8 |
A. Bales
|
NA | 43 | 14.7 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 6.1 | - | - | - | - | 43.6 | 42.9 | 75.0 | - | 53.3 | 46.2 |
K. Miller
|
G | 34 | 15.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 3.9 | - | - | - | - | 30.4 | 32.9 | 89.7 | - | 47.0 | 40.9 |
B. Raven
|
G | 25 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | 25.9 | 25.0 | 78.3 | - | 39.6 | 31.0 |
S. Goff
|
NA | 2 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 31.1 | 33.3 |
B. Ardossi
|
NA | 2 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 25.8 | 16.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2010 Shot Zones
3074 located field-goal attempts in 43 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Angel McCoughtryI. CastroE. de SouzaD. NowitzkiC. MillerK. Miller
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 664-1106 | 60.0 | 1328 | E. de Souza 24% (320 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 21% (274 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 19% (85 misses) | E. de Souza 19% (85 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 193-522 | 37.0 | 386 | Angel McCoughtry 24% (92 pts) | I. Castro 22% (84 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 31% (102 misses) | I. Castro 16% (53 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 131-337 | 38.9 | 262 | Angel McCoughtry 24% (64 pts) | I. Castro 24% (64 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 30% (62 misses) | D. Nowitzki 16% (33 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 42-124 | 33.9 | 84 | Angel McCoughtry 33% (28 pts) | I. Castro 21% (18 pts) | D. Nowitzki 26% (21 misses) | Angel McCoughtry 22% (18 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 161-429 | 37.5 | 322 | I. Castro 32% (104 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 25% (82 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 26% (71 misses) | I. Castro 24% (64 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 13-34 | 38.2 | 39 | I. Castro 46% (18 pts) | K. Miller 23% (9 pts) | C. Miller 33% (7 misses) | K. Miller 33% (7 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 8-22 | 36.4 | 24 | Angel McCoughtry 25% (6 pts) | K. Miller 25% (6 pts) | K. Miller 43% (6 misses) | I. Castro 29% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 55-171 | 32.2 | 165 | I. Castro 35% (57 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 24% (39 pts) | I. Castro 35% (41 misses) | Angel McCoughtry 28% (33 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 23-101 | 22.8 | 69 | Angel McCoughtry 30% (21 pts) | I. Castro 30% (21 pts) | I. Castro 31% (24 misses) | Angel McCoughtry 26% (20 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 70-228 | 30.7 | 210 | I. Castro 36% (75 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 34% (72 pts) | I. Castro 39% (61 misses) | Angel McCoughtry 31% (49 misses) |