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Atlanta Dream

Also known as: Atlanta Dream
Program History

2010 Team Stats (41 games)

86.1
PPG
83.3
Opp
+2.8
Margin
44.6%
FG%
30.1%
3P%
71.1%
FT%
38.5
RPG
19.4
APG
15.6
TO
86.1
Est. poss./game
87.1
Adj PPG
82.9
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1123 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1080 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +61 elo More โ†’ 1025 (#5) HCA +61 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +4.4 (#3) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More โ†’ +5.3 (#2) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.595 (#4) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.0 More โ†’ 0.639 (#4) AdjNet +5.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.0 More โ†’ 0.640 (#4) AdjNet +5.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.1 | AdjD 82.9 More โ†’ 0.595 (#3) AdjO 87.1 | AdjD 82.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 88.7 | AdjD 84.1 More โ†’ 0.605 (#2) AdjO 88.7 | AdjD 84.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.621 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.623 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 79 | GP 41 More โ†’ 1084 (#3) RD 79 | GP 41

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-05-15 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 75 - 70
2010-05-16 vs Indiana Fever W 66 - 62
2010-05-21 vs Connecticut Sun W 97 - 82
2010-05-23 @ New York Liberty W 86 - 77
2010-05-28 @ Phoenix Mercury W 96 - 93
2010-05-30 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 101 - 82
2010-06-01 @ Seattle Storm L 72 - 90
2010-06-04 vs Chicago Sky L 70 - 80
2010-06-05 @ Washington Mystics W 86 - 79
2010-06-11 @ New York Liberty L 79 - 91
2010-06-13 vs San Antonio Silver Stars W 90 - 83
2010-06-15 @ Chicago Sky W 93 - 86
2010-06-19 @ Indiana Fever L 91 - 94
2010-06-23 vs Tulsa Shock W 96 - 90
2010-06-27 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 89 - 81
2010-06-29 vs Phoenix Mercury W 94 - 88
2010-07-01 vs Minnesota Lynx W 76 - 58
2010-07-03 vs Chicago Sky L 82 - 88
2010-07-07 vs Connecticut Sun W 108 - 103
2010-07-14 @ Minnesota Lynx L 81 - 83
2010-07-16 @ Indiana Fever L 70 - 89
2010-07-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 80 - 96
2010-07-21 @ Washington Mystics L 72 - 82
2010-07-25 vs New York Liberty W 82 - 75
2010-07-27 @ Tulsa Shock W 105 - 89
2010-07-30 @ Connecticut Sun W 94 - 62
2010-08-01 vs Indiana Fever W 90 - 74
2010-08-03 vs Washington Mystics L 78 - 86
2010-08-06 @ Indiana Fever L 93 - 95
2010-08-10 vs Seattle Storm L 70 - 80
2010-08-13 vs New York Liberty L 83 - 90
2010-08-14 @ Chicago Sky W 98 - 74
2010-08-17 vs Chicago Sky L 79 - 84
2010-08-22 vs Washington Mystics L 81 - 90
2010-08-25 @ Washington Mystics W 95 - 90
2010-08-27 vs Washington Mystics W 101 - 77
2010-09-05 @ New York Liberty W 81 - 75
2010-09-07 vs New York Liberty W 105 - 93
2010-09-12 @ Seattle Storm L 77 - 79
2010-09-14 @ Seattle Storm L 84 - 87
2010-09-16 vs Seattle Storm L 84 - 87

2010 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Angel McCoughtry Angel McCoughtry F 43 30.3 21.7 5.0 2.9 1.9 0.7 3.1 17.7 11.3 - - - - 41.5 30.3 79.7 - 51.7 44.6
I. Castro I. Castro G 42 29.4 16.8 1.9 2.5 0.7 0.1 2.6 14.5 4.7 - - - - 44.7 30.2 62.8 - 51.7 49.3
D. Nowitzki D. Nowitzki - 39 28.4 12.4 9.8 2.1 1.8 0.7 1.9 9.9 15.0 - - - - 48.6 0 75.5 - 53.9 48.6
E. de Souza E. de Souza F 41 25.7 12.0 8.3 0.9 0.8 1.4 1.7 9.6 12.1 - - - - 56.0 0 58.9 - 57.0 56.0
C. Mokango C. Mokango NA 2 15.0 6.0 2.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 5.5 4.5 - - - - 36.4 66.7 100.0 - 50.5 45.5
A. Herrington A. Herrington G 43 18.4 4.9 3.0 2.2 0.9 0.0 1.1 4.3 5.7 - - - - 37.3 0.0 59.2 - 44.2 37.3
C. Miller C. Miller G 36 11.3 4.6 1.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 1.0 4.6 1.8 - - - - 38.4 21.7 82.9 - 46.0 41.5
Y. Leuchanka Y. Leuchanka C 39 10.3 4.0 2.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 1.2 3.2 3.2 - - - - 48.8 28.6 71.4 - 54.3 49.6
E. White E. White NA 2 14.5 4.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 3.5 - - - - 33.3 0 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
S. Lehning S. Lehning NA 42 21.7 3.7 2.5 4.3 0.7 0.1 1.6 3.2 6.6 - - - - 45.1 33.3 50.0 - 51.5 50.8
A. Bales A. Bales NA 43 14.7 3.6 3.5 0.7 0.7 1.1 0.7 2.7 6.1 - - - - 43.6 42.9 75.0 - 53.3 46.2
K. Miller K. Miller G 34 15.7 3.5 1.7 2.5 0.7 0.1 1.2 3.4 3.9 - - - - 30.4 32.9 89.7 - 47.0 40.9
B. Raven B. Raven G 25 7.0 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.1 - - - - 25.9 25.0 78.3 - 39.6 31.0
S. Goff S. Goff NA 2 16.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 - - - - 33.3 0 0.0 - 31.1 33.3
B. Ardossi B. Ardossi NA 2 15.0 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 3.0 0.5 - - - - 16.7 0.0 50.0 - 25.8 16.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2010 Shot Zones

3074 located field-goal attempts in 43 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Souza24% McCoughtry24% McCoughtry24% McCoughtry33% Castro32% Castro46% McCoughtry25% Castro35% McCoughtry30% Castro36%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
McCoughtry19% McCoughtry31% McCoughtry30% Nowitzki26% McCoughtry26% Miller33% Miller43% Castro35% Castro31% Castro39%
Misses: who misses most here

Angel McCoughtryI. CastroE. de SouzaD. NowitzkiC. MillerK. Miller

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 664-1106 60.0 1328 E. de Souza 24% (320 pts) Angel McCoughtry 21% (274 pts) Angel McCoughtry 19% (85 misses) E. de Souza 19% (85 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 193-522 37.0 386 Angel McCoughtry 24% (92 pts) I. Castro 22% (84 pts) Angel McCoughtry 31% (102 misses) I. Castro 16% (53 misses)
Mid-range left 131-337 38.9 262 Angel McCoughtry 24% (64 pts) I. Castro 24% (64 pts) Angel McCoughtry 30% (62 misses) D. Nowitzki 16% (33 misses)
Mid-range center 42-124 33.9 84 Angel McCoughtry 33% (28 pts) I. Castro 21% (18 pts) D. Nowitzki 26% (21 misses) Angel McCoughtry 22% (18 misses)
Mid-range right 161-429 37.5 322 I. Castro 32% (104 pts) Angel McCoughtry 25% (82 pts) Angel McCoughtry 26% (71 misses) I. Castro 24% (64 misses)
Left corner 3 13-34 38.2 39 I. Castro 46% (18 pts) K. Miller 23% (9 pts) C. Miller 33% (7 misses) K. Miller 33% (7 misses)
Right corner 3 8-22 36.4 24 Angel McCoughtry 25% (6 pts) K. Miller 25% (6 pts) K. Miller 43% (6 misses) I. Castro 29% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 left 55-171 32.2 165 I. Castro 35% (57 pts) Angel McCoughtry 24% (39 pts) I. Castro 35% (41 misses) Angel McCoughtry 28% (33 misses)
Above-break 3 center 23-101 22.8 69 Angel McCoughtry 30% (21 pts) I. Castro 30% (21 pts) I. Castro 31% (24 misses) Angel McCoughtry 26% (20 misses)
Above-break 3 right 70-228 30.7 210 I. Castro 36% (75 pts) Angel McCoughtry 34% (72 pts) I. Castro 39% (61 misses) Angel McCoughtry 31% (49 misses)