Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +6 (94-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 40 | 12-18 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 25 | - |
| T. Smith | 37 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Bonner | 37 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| T. Johnson | 35 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| C. Dupree | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Swanier | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Lilley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Miller | 28 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | - |
| A. Herrington | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 27 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| I. Castro | 25 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| A. Bales | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 21 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Lehning | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. de Souza | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter