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2010-09-07

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% -
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% -
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +12 (105-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 39 14-27 3-6 5-7 4 9 2 0 4 36 20 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 31 4-9 0-0 3-4 6 4 0 1 2 11 11 -
E. Carson 28 9-13 0-1 2-3 5 0 1 0 2 20 11 -
L. Mitchell 26 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 3 7 -
N. Powell 26 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
P. Pierson 24 5-13 0-0 3-5 4 2 0 0 3 13 3 -
K. Vaughn 19 1-3 0-0 3-6 5 1 0 0 3 5 5 -
K. Greene 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Spencer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. McCoughtry 36 12-20 1-3 17-21 3 4 5 1 4 42 31 -
S. Lyttle 35 2-6 0-0 4-4 5 2 1 1 1 8 10 -
I. Castro 32 4-11 1-3 2-2 4 5 0 0 0 11 9 -
E. de Souza 27 7-8 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 5 2 15 18 -
C. Miller 27 6-14 2-4 5-6 4 1 2 0 1 19 11 -
A. Herrington 19 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 3 1 0 1 4 6 -
S. Lehning 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 0 4 -
A. Bales 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 2 0 2 7 -
Y. Leuchanka 2 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter