Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +2 (83-81). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry * | 36 | 9-21 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 34 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 31 | 9-22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 1 | - |
| Shalee Lehning * | 31 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Alison Bales * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Coco Miller | 7 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Brittainey Raven | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Nicky Anosike * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 32 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Monica Wright * | 23 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nuria Martinez | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Charde Houston | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Rashanda McCants | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter