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2010-05-16

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 39.9% 60.1% -
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% -
Margin 40.4% 59.6% +2.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 33 8-15 0-2 2-4 2 4 3 0 5 18 7 -
E. Hoffman 33 6-13 1-5 4-4 8 4 4 0 5 17 15 -
T. Sutton-Brown 32 4-8 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 3 2 8 10 -
K. Douglas 32 3-12 1-6 0-0 3 6 1 1 1 7 5 -
B. January 26 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 4 5 -
T. Bevilaqua 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 -
J. Davenport 9 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
J. Moore 6 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Quigley 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
S. Murphy 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Morris 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lyttle 28 2-9 0-0 1-3 7 1 2 1 3 5 4 -
E. de Souza 26 7-11 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 2 6 14 11 -
A. Bales 25 3-6 2-2 0-0 4 1 3 6 1 8 15 -
A. McCoughtry 25 4-13 0-2 3-6 4 3 0 0 3 11 2 -
K. Miller 25 1-6 1-4 4-4 0 6 4 0 2 7 9 -
A. Herrington 23 5-14 0-1 4-5 4 0 1 0 0 14 5 -
I. Castro 18 2-9 0-5 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 5 -5 -
S. Lehning 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
B. Raven 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter