Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 33 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 33 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Douglas | 32 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. January | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Davenport | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Moore | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Quigley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Murphy | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Morris | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 28 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. de Souza | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Bales | 25 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 25 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| K. Miller | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Herrington | 23 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| I. Castro | 18 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -5 | - |
| S. Lehning | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Raven | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter