Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +12 (91-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Castro | 33 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 | - |
| E. de Souza | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 28 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| K. Miller | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 19 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| A. Herrington | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Lehning | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Bales | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Miller | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Raven | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 11-21 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 12 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 26 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. McCarville | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| N. Powell | 23 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| K. Greene | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Spencer | 14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Carson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter