Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +15 (97-82). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 35 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 31 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -4 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Renee Montgomery * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * | 17 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tan White | 24 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kerri Gardin | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Allison Hightower | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry * | 34 | 11-24 | 1-5 | 9-9 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 25 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 31 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 29 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shalee Lehning * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Alison Bales | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Coco Miller | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brittainey Raven | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter