Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +15 (97-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 35 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| K. Lawson | 32 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -4 | - |
| D. Walker | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. White | 25 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 22 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Griffin | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 18 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| K. Gardin | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Hightower | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 34 | 11-24 | 1-5 | 9-9 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 25 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 32 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 24 | - |
| I. Castro | 29 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 8 | - |
| E. de Souza | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Lehning | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - |
| K. Miller | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Bales | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Herrington | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Miller | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Raven | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter