Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +16 (96-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 34 | 11-26 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 3 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 31 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| E. de Souza | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| A. Herrington | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| K. Miller | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Lehning | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| I. Castro | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Miller | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Bales | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Raven | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 35 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| T. White | 28 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| K. Lawson | 26 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| A. Jones | 24 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| K. Griffin | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| S. Gruda | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 17 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Gardin | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Hightower | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Walker | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter