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2010-05-23

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -

Actual: New York Liberty -9 (77-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lehning 27 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 1 3 5 5 -
A. Bales 27 2-3 1-2 4-6 10 2 0 3 2 9 19 -
A. McCoughtry 26 6-12 0-2 9-11 4 6 0 1 2 21 18 -
E. de Souza 25 7-13 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 3 2 15 13 -
I. Castro 22 4-6 2-2 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 13 8 -
S. Lyttle 20 2-7 0-0 1-3 7 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
A. Herrington 19 3-5 0-0 2-2 0 0 3 0 2 8 4 -
B. Raven 14 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
K. Miller 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Y. Leuchanka 7 2-4 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 36 6-10 3-4 2-2 5 5 1 0 3 17 15 -
C. Pondexter 35 8-21 1-2 4-5 4 5 0 0 3 21 6 -
J. McCarville 33 6-8 0-1 4-4 9 4 2 1 2 16 22 -
L. Mitchell 31 1-5 0-2 2-2 3 5 1 0 1 4 7 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 22 3-7 0-1 3-4 3 0 2 1 2 9 6 -
T. Jackson-Jones 14 1-3 0-0 3-4 0 0 1 0 1 5 2 -
E. Carson 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 4 0 -3 -
K. Vaughn 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
K. Greene 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter