Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -9 (77-86). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shalee Lehning * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 25 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 25 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 22 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Alison Bales | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Brittainey Raven | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Powell * | 36 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 35 | 8-21 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 6 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Essence Carson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kalana Greene | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter