Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✗ (33.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -32 (62-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Miller | 23 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 23 | 8-20 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| A. Bales | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| E. de Souza | 21 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| I. Castro | 20 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | - |
| S. Lehning | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Herrington | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| C. Miller | 15 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 14 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Raven | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. White | 25 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Gruda | 25 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| A. Jones | 24 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 22 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Lawson | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Charles | 20 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Griffin | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Gardin | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Walker | 14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Hightower | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter