Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +24 (101-77). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 27 | 2-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 31 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 23 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 7-11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Chasity Melvin | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ashley Houts | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jacinta Monroe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armintie Herrington * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 26 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 4-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Coco Miller * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 20 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Shalee Lehning | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Alison Bales | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Erika de Souza | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brittainey Raven | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter