Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.7 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +6 (96-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Brown | 32 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Black | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 26 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| A. Holt | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 25 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| K. Braxton | 21 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 20 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| N. Lacy | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6 | - |
| M. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 28 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 33 | 11-22 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 15 | - |
| I. Castro | 31 | 6-21 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 2 | - |
| E. de Souza | 29 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| K. Miller | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| S. Lehning | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Bales | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Herrington | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Miller | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter