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2010-08-13

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% -
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% -
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (83-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 31 8-11 2-3 13-13 5 6 2 0 4 31 29 -
L. Mitchell 31 5-8 2-3 3-5 2 0 1 0 2 15 8 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 30 6-8 0-0 1-2 4 7 1 1 1 13 17 -
N. Powell 26 1-5 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. McCarville 22 3-8 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 2 2 6 5 -
E. Carson 19 2-5 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 1 2 6 10 -
P. Pierson 18 3-7 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 0 2 9 6 -
K. Greene 14 2-4 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
K. Vaughn 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. de Souza 34 9-14 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 1 2 21 17 -
S. Lyttle 33 4-9 0-0 0-2 13 5 2 0 3 8 16 -
I. Castro 33 6-15 0-2 1-1 0 3 0 0 2 13 -1 -
A. McCoughtry 32 8-19 1-2 5-6 3 4 2 0 1 22 11 -
S. Lehning 30 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 8 0 0 1 7 14 -
A. Herrington 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 4 8 -
C. Miller 10 2-9 0-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 -5 -
Y. Leuchanka 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
A. Bales 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
B. Raven 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter