Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +3 (94-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 34 | - |
| I. Castro | 37 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 5-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 6 | - |
| S. Lehning | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 23 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| A. Herrington | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. de Souza | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Bales | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Raven | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Miller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 30 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| K. Douglas | 27 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 26 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 22 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Moore | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Zellous | 15 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Davenport | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| B. January | 14 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Murphy | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter