Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.1% | 9.9% | -12.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock -16 (89-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 29 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| S. Lehning | 27 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 24 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| I. Castro | 23 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 8 | - |
| A. Bales | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| A. Herrington | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. de Souza | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Miller | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Miller | 11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| B. Raven | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Latta | 33 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Crossley | 27 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| A. Holt | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Lacy | 14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Black | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Brown | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| M. Jones | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter