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2010-08-01

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 39.9% 60.1% -
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% -
Margin 40.4% 59.6% +2.1 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +16 (90-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 32 8-15 2-4 6-7 6 3 3 1 4 24 18 -
B. January 29 1-5 0-1 6-6 1 4 1 0 3 8 6 -
K. Douglas 27 4-12 1-5 0-0 4 3 3 0 1 9 6 -
J. Davenport 26 1-8 0-0 4-6 12 0 2 1 2 6 11 -
J. Moore 19 3-8 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 3 7 0 -
T. Sutton-Brown 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
T. Bevilaqua 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 3 6 -
S. Zellous 14 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
E. Hoffman 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
J. Morris 9 2-7 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 -2 -
J. Cheek 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. McCoughtry 33 5-13 0-4 10-10 5 7 2 2 4 20 19 -
S. Lyttle 30 5-9 0-0 3-4 8 3 4 2 2 13 19 -
E. de Souza 29 8-11 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 3 3 16 14 -
I. Castro 26 10-20 2-9 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 22 4 -
S. Lehning 22 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 7 0 0 2 1 7 -
K. Miller 18 1-4 1-2 2-2 4 3 1 0 2 5 7 -
A. Bales 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 4 8 -
A. Herrington 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Y. Leuchanka 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
C. Miller 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
B. Raven 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter