Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +2 (95-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Castro | 38 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 14 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 37 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 12-16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 21 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| S. Lehning | 30 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E. de Souza | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Bales | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Miller | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Herrington | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Raven | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 35 | 10-20 | 0-3 | 10-11 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 24 | - |
| K. Douglas | 33 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 31 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 28 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Davenport | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. January | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Moore | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Zellous | 7 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Morris | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter