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Washington Wizards

Also known as: Washington Wizards
Program History

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 849 (#213) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 951 (#143) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.8 More → +2.9 (#34) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.430 (#25) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.4 More → 0.402 (#24) NetEff -4.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.4 More → 0.596 (#25) AdjNet +3.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.5 More → 0.598 (#25) AdjNet +3.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 119.2 | AdjD 116.4 More → 0.563 (#25) AdjO 119.2 | AdjD 116.4

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-10-24 @ DAL L 100 - 108
2019-10-26 @ OKC W 97 - 85
2019-10-27 @ SAS L 122 - 124
2019-10-31 vs HOU L 158 - 159
2019-11-03 vs MIN L 109 - 131
2019-11-05 vs DET W 115 - 99
2019-11-07 @ IND L 106 - 121
2019-11-09 vs CLE L 100 - 113
2019-11-14 @ BOS L 133 - 140
2019-11-16 @ MIN W 137 - 116
2019-11-17 @ ORL L 121 - 125
2019-11-20 vs SAS W 138 - 132
2019-11-23 vs CHA W 125 - 118
2019-11-24 vs SAC L 106 - 113
2019-11-27 @ DEN L 104 - 117
2019-11-28 @ PHX W 140 - 132
2019-11-30 @ LAL L 103 - 125
2019-12-02 @ LAC L 125 - 150
2019-12-04 vs ORL L 120 - 127
2019-12-05 vs PHI W 119 - 113
2019-12-06 @ MIA L 103 - 112
2019-12-08 vs LAC L 119 - 135
2019-12-11 @ CHA L 107 - 114
2019-12-15 @ MEM L 111 - 128
2019-12-17 @ DET W 133 - 119
2019-12-19 vs CHI L 109 - 110
2019-12-21 @ TOR L 118 - 122
2019-12-22 @ PHI L 108 - 125
2019-12-24 @ NYK W 121 - 115
2019-12-27 @ DET L 102 - 132
2019-12-29 vs NYK L 100 - 107
2019-12-31 vs MIA W 123 - 105
2020-01-01 vs ORL L 101 - 122
2020-01-04 vs POR L 103 - 122
2020-01-05 vs DEN W 128 - 114
2020-01-07 vs BOS W 99 - 94
2020-01-09 @ ORL L 89 - 123
2020-01-11 vs ATL W 111 - 101
2020-01-12 vs UTA L 116 - 127
2020-01-16 @ CHI L 106 - 115
2020-01-18 @ TOR L 111 - 140
2020-01-20 vs DET W 106 - 100
2020-01-23 @ MIA L 129 - 134
2020-01-24 @ CLE W 124 - 112
2020-01-26 @ ATL L 133 - 152
2020-01-28 @ MIL L 131 - 151
2020-01-30 vs CHA W 121 - 107
2020-02-01 vs BKN W 113 - 107
2020-02-03 vs GSW L 117 - 125
2020-02-07 vs DAL W 119 - 118
2020-02-09 vs MEM L 99 - 106
2020-02-11 vs CHI W 126 - 114
2020-02-12 @ NYK W 114 - 96
2020-02-21 vs CLE L 108 - 113
2020-02-23 @ CHI L 117 - 126
2020-02-25 vs MIL L 134 - 137
2020-02-27 vs BKN W 110 - 106
2020-02-28 @ UTA L 119 - 129
2020-03-02 @ GSW W 124 - 110
2020-03-03 @ SAC L 126 - 133
2020-03-05 @ POR L 104 - 125
2020-03-06 vs ATL W 118 - 112
2020-03-08 vs MIA L 89 - 100
2020-03-10 vs NYK W 122 - 115
2020-07-31 vs PHX L 112 - 125
2020-08-02 @ BKN L 110 - 118
2020-08-03 vs IND L 100 - 111
2020-08-05 vs PHI L 98 - 107
2020-08-07 @ NOP L 107 - 118
2020-08-09 @ OKC L 103 - 121
2020-08-11 vs MIL L 113 - 126
2020-08-13 @ BOS W 96 - 90

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bradley Beal Bradley Beal SG 57 35.5 30.6 4.2 6.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 22.9 19.7 - - - 45.5 35.3 84.3 - 57.9 52.0
Dāvis Bertāns Dāvis Bertāns - 17 30.0 15.5 4.9 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.0 11.2 12.4 - - - 42.1 41.4 84.3 - 61.9 57.9
Rui Hachimura Rui Hachimura SF 48 29.6 13.5 6.1 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 11.4 11.0 - - - 46.6 28.7 82.9 - 53.5 48.9
Thomas Bryant Thomas Bryant PF 46 24.4 13.2 7.2 1.8 0.5 1.1 0.0 9.1 14.7 - - - 58.1 40.7 73.9 - 64.9 62.6
Jordan McRae SF 29 22.2 12.8 3.6 2.8 0.7 0.5 0.0 10.9 9.4 - - - 42.0 37.7 77.1 - 52.3 48.3
Isaiah Thomas Isaiah Thomas SG 40 22.6 12.2 1.7 3.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.7 7.4 - - - 40.8 41.3 81.6 - 53.1 50.0
Shabazz Napier PG 20 23.9 11.6 2.4 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.7 10.7 - - - 42.8 35.8 83.1 - 57.3 51.2
Ish Smith Ish Smith PG 68 25.8 10.9 3.2 4.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 10.1 10.2 - - - 44.7 36.7 72.1 - 50.9 49.2
Troy Brown Jr. Troy Brown Jr. SF 69 25.4 10.4 5.6 2.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.0 10.8 - - - 43.9 34.1 78.4 - 52.4 48.8
Jerome Robinson Jerome Robinson SF 21 23.3 9.4 3.3 2.0 0.7 0.4 0.0 8.3 7.5 - - - 39.7 34.9 76.3 - 51.6 48.3
Moritz Wagner Moritz Wagner C 45 18.1 8.7 4.9 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 5.9 10.0 - - - 54.5 31.2 82.1 - 63.8 59.2
Ian Mahinmi Ian Mahinmi C 38 20.8 7.4 5.7 1.3 0.8 1.2 0.0 5.5 10.9 - - - 49.5 19.2 61.9 - 54.5 50.7
CJ Miles CJ Miles - 10 15.8 6.4 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 5.9 4.3 - - - 32.2 31.4 75.0 - 47.2 41.5
Garrison Mathews Garrison Mathews - 18 12.2 5.4 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.1 4.7 - - - 42.9 41.3 91.2 - 69.1 59.8
Isaac Bonga Isaac Bonga SF 66 18.5 5.0 3.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.5 7.0 - - - 50.4 35.2 81.2 - 60.8 55.8
Jarrod Uthoff - 3 13.0 5.0 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 3.0 - - - 54.5 60.0 0 - 68.2 68.2
Jerian Grant - 6 13.0 4.5 1.0 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.5 2.8 - - - 37.0 25.0 71.4 - 44.9 40.7
Gary Payton II Gary Payton II SG 29 14.3 3.9 2.8 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.0 5.7 - - - 41.4 28.3 50.0 - 47.3 47.0
Anžejs Pasečņiks - 6 10.0 3.2 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.0 2.5 3.2 - - - 53.3 0.0 50.0 - 53.9 53.3
Admiral Schofield Admiral Schofield PF 33 10.6 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.8 2.5 - - - 38.0 31.1 66.7 - 50.2 48.4
Johnathan Williams PF 15 11.6 3.0 4.3 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.0 2.3 6.1 - - - 55.9 0.0 53.8 - 56.6 55.9
Chris Chiozza Chris Chiozza - 10 11.8 2.7 1.5 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.4 4.8 - - - 29.4 43.8 0 - 39.7 39.7
Justin Robinson Justin Robinson - 9 4.9 1.4 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3 1.6 - - - 41.7 60.0 0 - 54.2 54.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG