Washington Wizards
Model Outputs
2019-2020
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 849 (#213) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 951 (#143) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.9 (#34) | HCA +1.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.430 (#25) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.402 (#24) | NetEff -4.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.596 (#25) | AdjNet +3.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.598 (#25) | AdjNet +3.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.563 (#25) | AdjO 119.2 | AdjD 116.4 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-24 | @ | DAL | L | 100 - 108 |
| 2019-10-26 | @ | OKC | W | 97 - 85 |
| 2019-10-27 | @ | SAS | L | 122 - 124 |
| 2019-10-31 | vs | HOU | L | 158 - 159 |
| 2019-11-03 | vs | MIN | L | 109 - 131 |
| 2019-11-05 | vs | DET | W | 115 - 99 |
| 2019-11-07 | @ | IND | L | 106 - 121 |
| 2019-11-09 | vs | CLE | L | 100 - 113 |
| 2019-11-14 | @ | BOS | L | 133 - 140 |
| 2019-11-16 | @ | MIN | W | 137 - 116 |
| 2019-11-17 | @ | ORL | L | 121 - 125 |
| 2019-11-20 | vs | SAS | W | 138 - 132 |
| 2019-11-23 | vs | CHA | W | 125 - 118 |
| 2019-11-24 | vs | SAC | L | 106 - 113 |
| 2019-11-27 | @ | DEN | L | 104 - 117 |
| 2019-11-28 | @ | PHX | W | 140 - 132 |
| 2019-11-30 | @ | LAL | L | 103 - 125 |
| 2019-12-02 | @ | LAC | L | 125 - 150 |
| 2019-12-04 | vs | ORL | L | 120 - 127 |
| 2019-12-05 | vs | PHI | W | 119 - 113 |
| 2019-12-06 | @ | MIA | L | 103 - 112 |
| 2019-12-08 | vs | LAC | L | 119 - 135 |
| 2019-12-11 | @ | CHA | L | 107 - 114 |
| 2019-12-15 | @ | MEM | L | 111 - 128 |
| 2019-12-17 | @ | DET | W | 133 - 119 |
| 2019-12-19 | vs | CHI | L | 109 - 110 |
| 2019-12-21 | @ | TOR | L | 118 - 122 |
| 2019-12-22 | @ | PHI | L | 108 - 125 |
| 2019-12-24 | @ | NYK | W | 121 - 115 |
| 2019-12-27 | @ | DET | L | 102 - 132 |
| 2019-12-29 | vs | NYK | L | 100 - 107 |
| 2019-12-31 | vs | MIA | W | 123 - 105 |
| 2020-01-01 | vs | ORL | L | 101 - 122 |
| 2020-01-04 | vs | POR | L | 103 - 122 |
| 2020-01-05 | vs | DEN | W | 128 - 114 |
| 2020-01-07 | vs | BOS | W | 99 - 94 |
| 2020-01-09 | @ | ORL | L | 89 - 123 |
| 2020-01-11 | vs | ATL | W | 111 - 101 |
| 2020-01-12 | vs | UTA | L | 116 - 127 |
| 2020-01-16 | @ | CHI | L | 106 - 115 |
| 2020-01-18 | @ | TOR | L | 111 - 140 |
| 2020-01-20 | vs | DET | W | 106 - 100 |
| 2020-01-23 | @ | MIA | L | 129 - 134 |
| 2020-01-24 | @ | CLE | W | 124 - 112 |
| 2020-01-26 | @ | ATL | L | 133 - 152 |
| 2020-01-28 | @ | MIL | L | 131 - 151 |
| 2020-01-30 | vs | CHA | W | 121 - 107 |
| 2020-02-01 | vs | BKN | W | 113 - 107 |
| 2020-02-03 | vs | GSW | L | 117 - 125 |
| 2020-02-07 | vs | DAL | W | 119 - 118 |
| 2020-02-09 | vs | MEM | L | 99 - 106 |
| 2020-02-11 | vs | CHI | W | 126 - 114 |
| 2020-02-12 | @ | NYK | W | 114 - 96 |
| 2020-02-21 | vs | CLE | L | 108 - 113 |
| 2020-02-23 | @ | CHI | L | 117 - 126 |
| 2020-02-25 | vs | MIL | L | 134 - 137 |
| 2020-02-27 | vs | BKN | W | 110 - 106 |
| 2020-02-28 | @ | UTA | L | 119 - 129 |
| 2020-03-02 | @ | GSW | W | 124 - 110 |
| 2020-03-03 | @ | SAC | L | 126 - 133 |
| 2020-03-05 | @ | POR | L | 104 - 125 |
| 2020-03-06 | vs | ATL | W | 118 - 112 |
| 2020-03-08 | vs | MIA | L | 89 - 100 |
| 2020-03-10 | vs | NYK | W | 122 - 115 |
| 2020-07-31 | vs | PHX | L | 112 - 125 |
| 2020-08-02 | @ | BKN | L | 110 - 118 |
| 2020-08-03 | vs | IND | L | 100 - 111 |
| 2020-08-05 | vs | PHI | L | 98 - 107 |
| 2020-08-07 | @ | NOP | L | 107 - 118 |
| 2020-08-09 | @ | OKC | L | 103 - 121 |
| 2020-08-11 | vs | MIL | L | 113 - 126 |
| 2020-08-13 | @ | BOS | W | 96 - 90 |
2020 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bradley Beal
|
SG | 57 | 35.5 | 30.6 | 4.2 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 22.9 | 19.7 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 35.3 | 84.3 | - | 57.9 | 52.0 |
Dāvis Bertāns
|
- | 17 | 30.0 | 15.5 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 11.2 | 12.4 | - | - | - | 42.1 | 41.4 | 84.3 | - | 61.9 | 57.9 |
Rui Hachimura
|
SF | 48 | 29.6 | 13.5 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 11.4 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 46.6 | 28.7 | 82.9 | - | 53.5 | 48.9 |
Thomas Bryant
|
PF | 46 | 24.4 | 13.2 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 9.1 | 14.7 | - | - | - | 58.1 | 40.7 | 73.9 | - | 64.9 | 62.6 |
| Jordan McRae | SF | 29 | 22.2 | 12.8 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 10.9 | 9.4 | - | - | - | 42.0 | 37.7 | 77.1 | - | 52.3 | 48.3 |
Isaiah Thomas
|
SG | 40 | 22.6 | 12.2 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 10.7 | 7.4 | - | - | - | 40.8 | 41.3 | 81.6 | - | 53.1 | 50.0 |
| Shabazz Napier | PG | 20 | 23.9 | 11.6 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 8.7 | 10.7 | - | - | - | 42.8 | 35.8 | 83.1 | - | 57.3 | 51.2 |
Ish Smith
|
PG | 68 | 25.8 | 10.9 | 3.2 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 10.1 | 10.2 | - | - | - | 44.7 | 36.7 | 72.1 | - | 50.9 | 49.2 |
Troy Brown Jr.
|
SF | 69 | 25.4 | 10.4 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 10.8 | - | - | - | 43.9 | 34.1 | 78.4 | - | 52.4 | 48.8 |
Jerome Robinson
|
SF | 21 | 23.3 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 8.3 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 39.7 | 34.9 | 76.3 | - | 51.6 | 48.3 |
Moritz Wagner
|
C | 45 | 18.1 | 8.7 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 31.2 | 82.1 | - | 63.8 | 59.2 |
Ian Mahinmi
|
C | 38 | 20.8 | 7.4 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 10.9 | - | - | - | 49.5 | 19.2 | 61.9 | - | 54.5 | 50.7 |
CJ Miles
|
- | 10 | 15.8 | 6.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 32.2 | 31.4 | 75.0 | - | 47.2 | 41.5 |
Garrison Mathews
|
- | 18 | 12.2 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 41.3 | 91.2 | - | 69.1 | 59.8 |
Isaac Bonga
|
SF | 66 | 18.5 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.4 | 35.2 | 81.2 | - | 60.8 | 55.8 |
| Jarrod Uthoff | - | 3 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 68.2 | 68.2 |
| Jerian Grant | - | 6 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 37.0 | 25.0 | 71.4 | - | 44.9 | 40.7 |
Gary Payton II
|
SG | 29 | 14.3 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.7 | - | - | - | 41.4 | 28.3 | 50.0 | - | 47.3 | 47.0 |
| Anžejs Pasečņiks | - | 6 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 53.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 53.9 | 53.3 |
Admiral Schofield
|
PF | 33 | 10.6 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 38.0 | 31.1 | 66.7 | - | 50.2 | 48.4 |
| Johnathan Williams | PF | 15 | 11.6 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 6.1 | - | - | - | 55.9 | 0.0 | 53.8 | - | 56.6 | 55.9 |
Chris Chiozza
|
- | 10 | 11.8 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 4.8 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 43.8 | 0 | - | 39.7 | 39.7 |
Justin Robinson
|
- | 9 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 54.2 | 54.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG