Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.4% | 39.6% | -2.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +6 (138-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 13-17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 32 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills * | 30 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 28 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray | 19 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 13 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| DeMarre Carroll | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 38 | 14-24 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 23 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 22 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dāvis Bertāns | 29 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 25 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 23 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| CJ Miles | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan McRae | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter