Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.8% | 25.2% | -6.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +1 (119-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 21 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Courtney Lee * | 17 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 28 | 6-18 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 26 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 38 | 11-28 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 28 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dāvis Bertāns | 31 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 27 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 18 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Shabazz Napier | 18 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter