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2020-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 32.3% 67.7% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% -
Log Adjusted 37.2% 62.8% -
Points Off/Def 36.4% 63.6% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +7 (133-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 38 11-24 2-8 11-15 2 8 2 0 35 - -
Rui Hachimura * 30 6-9 1-2 7-8 6 3 2 0 20 - -
Shabazz Napier * 27 3-6 1-3 2-3 2 4 1 0 9 - -
Thomas Bryant * 19 4-4 2-2 2-2 4 2 1 2 12 - -
Isaac Bonga * 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jerome Robinson 30 4-8 2-4 0-0 2 2 2 1 10 - -
Dāvis Bertāns 28 6-13 6-12 0-0 7 1 1 0 18 - -
Ish Smith 20 5-6 1-1 2-2 3 5 0 0 13 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 15 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 - -
Moritz Wagner 13 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 1 2 - -
Anžejs Pasečņiks 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 31 4-8 0-1 2-2 4 4 2 0 10 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 31 12-19 2-4 5-6 3 1 3 0 31 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 30 6-12 4-10 5-6 1 4 2 1 21 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 29 2-4 1-2 1-2 7 4 2 0 6 - -
Harry Giles III * 26 5-7 0-0 3-3 6 1 2 0 13 - -
Cory Joseph 26 6-8 2-3 0-0 4 4 1 0 14 - -
Kent Bazemore 25 3-7 0-1 3-4 6 1 1 0 9 - -
Buddy Hield 23 6-16 4-8 1-1 5 4 0 0 17 - -
Alex Len 14 6-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 12 - -

* = starter