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2020-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 77.3% 22.7% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 66.3% 33.7% -3.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% -
Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.0% 66.0% -
Log Adjusted 34.0% 66.0% -
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -5 (108-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 36 6-11 2-4 1-1 2 4 0 0 15 - -
Collin Sexton * 34 8-17 2-6 7-10 2 2 0 0 25 - -
Cedi Osman * 30 5-7 3-5 3-4 10 2 1 0 16 - -
Kevin Love * 22 3-8 2-5 1-2 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Andre Drummond * 21 6-11 0-1 0-2 12 2 2 2 12 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 25 5-11 1-3 2-3 6 2 0 0 13 - -
Tristan Thompson 25 5-8 0-1 0-0 11 4 0 2 10 - -
Danté Exum 23 4-4 1-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 2 3 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 34 9-28 1-10 7-9 3 1 3 0 26 - -
Rui Hachimura * 30 7-13 1-3 2-2 7 3 2 0 17 - -
Ish Smith * 29 2-12 1-5 0-0 5 6 2 0 5 - -
Isaac Bonga * 19 2-3 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 16 1-3 0-0 3-4 5 2 2 0 5 - -
Dāvis Bertāns 26 2-7 2-7 4-5 8 2 0 1 10 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 19 5-10 1-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 11 - -
Shabazz Napier 18 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 4 1 0 8 - -
Thomas Bryant 16 4-7 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 2 8 - -
Moritz Wagner 15 2-7 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Jerome Robinson 13 4-8 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 9 - -

* = starter