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2020-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 68.5% 31.5% -
Bradley-Terry 55.0% 45.0% -
Margin 61.1% 38.9% -2.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% -
Log Adjusted 49.1% 50.9% -
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +12 (126-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 36 15-21 8-11 3-4 9 4 2 0 41 - -
Thaddeus Young * 32 4-12 2-6 0-0 5 1 1 2 10 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 30 7-12 2-4 3-3 2 8 0 0 19 - -
Chandler Hutchison * 28 4-12 1-3 0-2 4 1 0 1 9 - -
Luke Kornet * 24 4-8 0-2 0-1 7 0 0 0 8 - -
Coby White 34 4-14 2-7 4-4 5 7 4 0 14 - -
Cristiano Felicio 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Shaquille Harrison 11 3-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 6 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 34 12-23 3-9 3-4 4 7 1 0 30 - -
Rui Hachimura * 31 7-12 0-0 6-6 4 3 2 2 20 - -
Ish Smith * 28 4-8 2-4 0-0 5 9 1 1 10 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 21 7-10 0-1 1-3 6 0 0 0 15 - -
Isaac Bonga * 19 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 8 - -
Moritz Wagner 26 5-7 0-1 2-3 3 2 1 1 12 - -
Dāvis Bertāns 24 4-11 2-9 0-0 2 1 0 1 10 - -
Shabazz Napier 19 5-7 3-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 15 - -
Jerome Robinson 17 1-2 1-2 1-2 9 0 0 0 4 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 16 0-5 0-2 2-2 4 3 5 0 2 - -
Gary Payton II 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter