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2020-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 19.3% 80.7% +7.9 (25.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -
Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Log Adjusted 55.8% 44.2% -
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: New York Knicks -18 (96-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 33 11-23 2-7 6-7 2 3 2 1 30 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 30 3-7 0-0 3-4 10 1 1 1 9 - -
Ish Smith * 28 4-9 0-3 0-0 4 3 1 1 8 - -
Rui Hachimura * 23 3-7 0-1 2-3 5 1 0 0 8 - -
Isaac Bonga * 14 5-7 3-3 0-0 5 3 2 2 13 - -
Dāvis Bertāns 30 4-9 2-6 6-7 2 2 2 1 16 - -
Jerome Robinson 21 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 20 3-7 1-3 4-6 3 6 2 0 11 - -
Shabazz Napier 19 2-3 0-1 1-2 3 4 1 0 5 - -
Moritz Wagner 16 2-5 0-1 2-4 4 0 1 1 6 - -
Gary Payton II 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Johnathan Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 37 9-18 1-3 2-3 13 1 0 1 21 - -
Elfrid Payton * 30 6-10 1-2 6-9 4 8 5 0 19 - -
RJ Barrett * 29 5-16 0-4 6-6 5 0 0 0 16 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 24 2-12 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Taj Gibson * 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Maurice Harkless 24 2-7 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 - -
Mitchell Robinson 18 5-6 0-0 1-4 8 1 0 1 11 - -
Bobby Portis 15 2-6 0-2 3-4 7 2 1 0 7 - -
Wayne Ellington 14 1-4 0-2 3-3 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Kevin Knox II 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Frank Ntilikina 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 - -
Damyean Dotson 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 6 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 - -

* = starter