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2020-08-09

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% -
Margin 16.9% 83.1% +8.8 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% -
Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.1% 72.9% -
Log Adjusted 27.1% 72.9% -
Points Off/Def 29.3% 70.7% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +18 (121-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Brown Jr. * 29 5-14 2-7 0-0 8 4 2 0 12 - -
Isaac Bonga * 28 5-12 1-5 3-3 8 2 0 0 14 - -
Rui Hachimura * 25 4-11 0-1 3-3 8 1 0 0 11 - -
Thomas Bryant * 22 2-8 1-5 4-4 5 0 0 2 9 - -
Ish Smith * 21 3-7 0-0 4-4 3 4 1 1 10 - -
Jerome Robinson 29 7-15 4-9 1-1 2 6 2 0 19 - -
Admiral Schofield 24 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Jerian Grant 21 3-8 0-4 0-2 0 5 0 0 6 - -
Moritz Wagner 21 5-8 0-1 2-3 3 0 1 0 12 - -
Jarrod Uthoff 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Johnathan Williams 4 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 35 6-12 0-2 6-8 6 7 1 0 18 - -
Chris Paul * 32 4-9 3-4 2-2 6 9 3 2 13 - -
Mike Muscala * 27 5-11 4-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 14 - -
Luguentz Dort * 26 4-11 1-3 0-0 10 1 0 1 9 - -
Danilo Gallinari * 21 6-8 3-5 5-5 2 2 1 0 20 - -
Darius Bazley 26 8-13 5-8 2-2 7 1 1 0 23 - -
Hamidou Diallo 25 5-7 1-2 2-4 6 2 1 0 13 - -
Abdel Nader 20 3-6 0-3 0-1 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Terrance Ferguson 19 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Deonte Burton 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Devon Hall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter