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2020-08-11

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 62.1% 37.9% -
Bradley-Terry 69.3% 30.7% -
Margin 79.2% 20.8% -7.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% -
Efficiency 88.6% 11.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% -
Log Adjusted 85.0% 15.0% -
Points Off/Def 75.2% 24.8% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -13 (113-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pat Connaughton * 24 3-7 2-4 2-2 8 3 1 0 10 - -
Kyle Korver * 24 1-6 1-5 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 - -
Brook Lopez * 22 9-11 5-5 1-1 3 0 0 0 24 - -
George Hill * 22 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 6 1 0 5 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 10 1-3 0-0 10-12 9 1 1 0 12 - -
Sterling Brown 29 9-16 5-8 0-0 2 2 1 0 23 - -
D.J. Wilson 23 4-6 1-3 2-4 5 0 0 0 11 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 21 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Frank Mason III 21 7-10 1-2 4-7 5 6 2 0 19 - -
Robin Lopez 21 3-6 1-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 18 4-8 0-1 0-0 4 4 0 0 8 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerome Robinson * 32 4-11 2-6 5-7 4 7 0 0 15 - -
Isaac Bonga * 30 5-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 10 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 30 3-15 1-4 2-2 6 3 0 0 9 - -
Rui Hachimura * 29 6-18 3-9 5-6 5 1 0 0 20 - -
Thomas Bryant * 25 5-9 2-3 1-1 8 1 0 1 13 - -
Ish Smith 25 8-15 1-2 2-2 3 5 0 0 19 - -
Moritz Wagner 20 1-3 0-2 4-4 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Anžejs Pasečņiks 20 4-9 0-1 2-4 6 1 1 0 10 - -
Admiral Schofield 13 2-5 2-5 1-2 3 0 0 1 7 - -
Jerian Grant 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarrod Uthoff 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Johnathan Williams 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter