🐻⬇️🏀

@
2020-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 77.7% 22.3% -
Bradley-Terry 61.7% 38.3% -
Margin 72.4% 27.6% -5.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% -
Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Log Adjusted 35.3% 64.7% -
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -8 (117-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damion Lee * 34 7-15 5-9 0-0 1 6 1 0 19 12 -
Draymond Green * 33 5-8 2-3 0-0 10 7 2 1 12 24 -
Glenn Robinson III * 31 8-13 2-4 4-4 6 7 1 0 22 23 -
Marquese Chriss * 25 5-5 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 2 13 16 -
Jacob Evans * 25 1-8 1-3 4-4 2 3 1 3 7 8 -
Alec Burks 28 9-17 5-10 7-8 3 2 2 0 30 20 -
Eric Paschall 24 5-13 0-0 4-9 10 1 0 0 14 12 -
Jordan Poole 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Omari Spellman 12 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 3 -
Kevon Looney 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 8 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 39 15-30 3-7 10-10 2 6 2 0 43 23 -
Rui Hachimura * 25 5-8 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 11 11 -
Isaiah Thomas * 24 3-10 1-4 2-2 1 4 0 0 9 4 -
Gary Payton II * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Ian Mahinmi * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 7 -
Dāvis Bertāns 32 6-9 5-7 2-3 4 5 1 1 19 21 -
Thomas Bryant 29 3-3 0-0 5-6 7 3 0 2 11 20 -
Ish Smith 23 2-4 0-0 3-4 3 6 1 0 7 13 -
Troy Brown Jr. 22 3-8 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 1 6 6 -
Moritz Wagner 12 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
Isaac Bonga 9 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 -2 -

* = starter