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2020-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% - ✓
Margin 30.2% 69.8% +4.6 ✓ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% - ✓
Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.7% 61.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards +6 (118-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 38 6-14 2-8 0-0 1 10 1 1 14 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 37 4-11 1-5 1-4 9 2 1 0 10 - -
John Collins * 29 10-15 1-3 5-5 10 1 1 2 26 - -
Jeff Teague * 28 4-9 0-1 1-2 2 5 1 0 9 - -
Dewayne Dedmon * 19 5-9 1-2 0-0 6 0 4 0 11 - -
Cam Reddish 28 11-17 5-7 1-1 1 2 1 1 28 - -
Treveon Graham 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Vince Carter 16 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Bruno Fernando 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Brandon Goodwin 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 38 13-21 7-10 2-2 3 4 2 1 35 - -
Jerome Robinson * 35 4-9 2-5 4-4 6 5 3 0 14 - -
Rui Hachimura * 32 0-6 0-0 3-4 8 2 1 0 3 - -
Thomas Bryant * 24 2-5 1-2 5-6 7 0 0 1 10 - -
Shabazz Napier * 23 3-7 1-4 2-2 3 6 1 0 9 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 28 5-10 1-1 2-2 4 5 1 1 13 - -
Dāvis Bertāns 26 3-12 3-9 8-10 3 1 0 0 17 - -
Moritz Wagner 18 4-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 10 - -
Isaac Bonga 12 2-2 0-0 3-3 0 0 0 1 7 - -

* = starter