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2020-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% -
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% -
Margin 24.7% 75.3% +6.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Log Adjusted 44.9% 55.1% -
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +9 (126-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 39 15-27 5-11 18-20 5 4 2 1 53 - -
Rui Hachimura * 28 4-8 0-1 2-2 8 4 1 0 10 - -
Ish Smith * 27 3-5 2-3 2-3 3 5 2 1 10 - -
Isaac Bonga * 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 - -
Dāvis Bertāns 37 7-15 5-11 3-3 4 1 1 0 22 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 21 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 3 2 0 7 - -
Shabazz Napier 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 4 4 0 2 - -
Jerome Robinson 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 - -
Moritz Wagner 15 0-2 0-1 4-4 2 2 0 1 4 - -
Thomas Bryant 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 - -
Gary Payton II 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tomas Satoransky * 39 6-10 1-3 2-4 3 13 4 0 15 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 11-20 6-12 4-6 4 3 3 1 32 - -
Thaddeus Young * 30 8-14 5-7 2-3 6 2 3 0 23 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono * 21 1-5 1-4 2-2 3 5 1 0 5 - -
Daniel Gafford * 21 5-6 0-0 0-4 2 0 0 2 10 - -
Coby White 33 11-18 5-9 6-7 6 2 2 1 33 - -
Cristiano Felicio 23 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 6 - -
Adam Mokoka 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Shaquille Harrison 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter