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Washington Wizards 107
@
New Orleans Pelicans 118
2020-08-07

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 35.8% 64.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% - ✓
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 ✓ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% - ✓
Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 32.3% 67.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.8% 67.2% - ✓

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +11 (118-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Brown Jr. * 38 6-16 3-5 5-5 10 5 2 0 20 - -
Rui Hachimura * 37 10-16 1-2 2-2 6 2 0 0 23 - -
Thomas Bryant * 34 9-18 2-7 2-2 8 1 2 2 22 - -
Ish Smith * 31 7-16 2-4 2-2 6 10 4 0 18 - -
Isaac Bonga * 24 1-4 0-2 5-6 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Jerome Robinson 23 2-8 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 2 6 - -
Shabazz Napier 18 3-6 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Jerian Grant 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Moritz Wagner 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Admiral Schofield 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 36 11-16 2-4 4-5 3 6 2 1 28 - -
Lonzo Ball * 31 1-7 0-3 0-0 9 5 1 3 2 - -
Brandon Ingram * 30 4-15 2-5 7-8 4 5 1 0 17 - -
Derrick Favors * 29 5-8 0-0 2-3 10 1 2 0 12 - -
JJ Redick * 29 5-14 3-11 2-2 0 2 0 0 15 - -
Josh Hart 21 2-7 1-4 5-5 8 2 0 0 10 - -
Frank Jackson 20 6-10 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 13 - -
Nicolo Melli 17 4-5 2-2 0-0 6 1 0 3 10 - -
E'Twaun Moore 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 8 2-2 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter