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2020-07-31

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 80.8% 19.2% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.7% 41.3% - βœ“
Margin 65.6% 34.4% -3.5 βœ“ (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.6% 46.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 74.3% 25.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 64.0% 36.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 64.0% 36.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 55.8% 44.2% - βœ“

Actual: Washington Wizards -13 (112-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 35 8-21 2-7 9-9 5 4 1 0 27 - -
Deandre Ayton * 34 11-14 2-3 0-0 12 3 0 2 24 - -
Mikal Bridges * 33 4-8 1-5 4-6 3 3 1 0 13 - -
Ricky Rubio * 29 3-7 1-3 8-8 1 9 3 0 15 - -
Cameron Johnson * 24 5-8 1-3 1-1 3 2 1 0 12 - -
Dario Šarić 27 4-6 2-3 6-6 6 3 1 0 16 - -
Jevon Carter 24 2-5 1-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Cameron Payne 18 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 2 2 1 9 - -
Frank Kaminsky 10 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thomas Bryant * 33 4-12 1-4 1-2 7 3 2 0 10 - -
Rui Hachimura * 29 8-15 0-0 5-5 8 1 1 0 21 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 26 6-11 0-2 3-3 1 1 1 0 15 - -
Shabazz Napier * 26 4-13 1-5 3-3 3 3 1 1 12 - -
Isaac Bonga * 22 2-6 0-1 5-5 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Jerome Robinson 31 7-9 4-6 2-3 1 1 1 0 20 - -
Ish Smith 26 8-18 1-2 0-0 4 7 0 0 17 - -
Moritz Wagner 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Johnathan Williams 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 - -
Jerian Grant 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Admiral Schofield 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter