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2020-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 54.2% 45.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Log Adjusted 38.4% 61.6% -
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +14 (121-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 37 8-21 1-7 4-4 7 3 1 1 21 - -
Devonte' Graham * 35 4-13 3-11 0-0 3 8 3 0 11 - -
Miles Bridges * 34 8-17 3-7 4-4 6 3 2 0 23 - -
Cody Zeller * 24 3-9 0-0 3-5 7 7 0 1 9 - -
P.J. Washington * 22 7-10 0-0 1-4 1 1 1 0 15 - -
Malik Monk 27 3-12 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 7 - -
Cody Martin 23 3-6 1-1 0-0 6 4 1 0 7 - -
Willy Hernangomez 19 6-8 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 12 - -
Marvin Williams 15 1-3 0-0 0-2 0 2 0 1 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 34 7-16 6-12 14-15 9 9 0 1 34 - -
Isaac Bonga * 28 3-7 1-2 2-2 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 6 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 22 6-14 4-10 2-2 6 1 0 0 18 - -
Gary Payton II * 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 34 5-12 1-3 1-1 6 1 2 0 12 - -
Dāvis Bertāns 28 1-8 1-6 3-3 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Ish Smith 25 5-9 1-3 0-0 5 7 0 1 11 - -
Thomas Bryant 23 9-11 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 1 21 - -
Admiral Schofield 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Johnathan Williams 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter