UC Davis Aggies

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: UC Davis Aggies

Program History

2026 Team Stats (34 games)

68.6

PPG

64.5

Opp

+4.1

Margin

41.1%

FG%

30.9%

3P%

75.6%

FT%

38.2

RPG

14.7

APG

15.1

71.1

Est. poss./game

66.0

Adj PPG

66.1

Adj Opp PPG

#166

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1048 (#155)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1088 (#124)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More →	1052 (#117)	HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More →	-0.2 (#167)	HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More →	-3.2 (#205)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.592 (#138)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.1 More →	0.592 (#138)	NetEff +3.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.1 More →	0.441 (#183)	AdjNet -2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.3 More →	0.434 (#183)	AdjNet -2.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.0 \| AdjD 66.1 More →	0.499 (#166)	AdjO 66.0 \| AdjD 66.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.2 \| AdjD 64.7 More →	0.487 (#178)	AdjO 64.2 \| AdjD 64.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.508 (#166)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.505 (#168)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 \| GP 32 More →	1073 (#130)	RD 115 \| GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-03	vs	Jessup Warriors	W	72 - 35
2025-11-07	vs	Idaho Vandals	W	89 - 76
2025-11-12	@	Weber State Wildcats	W	75 - 52
2025-11-14	@	Boise State Broncos	L	77 - 91
2025-11-20	@	Stanford Cardinal	L	45 - 70
2025-11-24	@	Sacramento State Hornets	W	70 - 67
2025-11-28	@	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	W	69 - 59
2025-11-29	@	Milwaukee Panthers	W	81 - 72
2025-12-04	vs	Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine	W	68 - 63
2025-12-06	@	Gonzaga Bulldogs	L	72 - 83
2025-12-14	vs	Chico State Wildcats	W	74 - 42
2025-12-20	vs	Northern Colorado Bears	L	47 - 57
2026-01-01	@	Cal State Northridge Matadors	W	85 - 66
2026-01-03	@	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	W	69 - 59
2026-01-08	vs	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	L	47 - 55
2026-01-10	vs	Cal Poly Mustangs	W	87 - 61
2026-01-15	@	Cal State Fullerton Titans	W	73 - 67
2026-01-17	@	UC Irvine Anteaters	L	42 - 73
2026-01-22	@	UC San Diego Tritons	W	66 - 62
2026-01-24	@	UC Riverside Highlanders	W	81 - 68
2026-01-29	vs	Cal State Northridge Matadors	W	68 - 51
2026-01-31	vs	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	W	76 - 68
2026-02-05	@	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	L	61 - 69
2026-02-07	@	Cal Poly Mustangs	W	59 - 55
2026-02-12	vs	UC San Diego Tritons	W	88 - 80
2026-02-14	@	Long Beach State Beach	W	77 - 66
2026-02-19	vs	Cal State Fullerton Titans	W	70 - 64
2026-02-21	vs	UC Riverside Highlanders	W	65 - 56
2026-02-26	@	Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine	L	46 - 67
2026-03-05	vs	Long Beach State Beach	W	59 - 56
2026-03-07	vs	UC Irvine Anteaters	L	58 - 70
2026-03-12	vs	UC Riverside Highlanders	W	70 - 59
2026-03-13	@	UC San Diego Tritons	L	79 - 84
2026-03-19	@	Pepperdine Waves	L	68 - 71

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Ryann Bennett	G	34	36.4	15.3	3.3	4.0	1.6	0.2	2.8	12.2	9.3	70	29	2.4	2.7	45.4	32.1	80.6	-0.79	56.0	51.9
Nya Epps	G	34	32.7	13.0	4.2	1.6	1.1	0.3	3.0	12.6	4.6	81	29	2.8	3.5	37.7	28.4	80.7	0.38	47.6	43.6
Avery Sussex	G	34	31.0	12.3	3.6	3.2	1.5	0.2	2.5	9.9	8.4	107	29	3.7	4.8	39.7	34.7	80.2	2.02	55.9	51.9
Megan Norris	C	34	34.8	12.2	12.5	2.7	0.9	1.4	2.3	8.9	18.5	123	29	4.2	5.0	46.7	32.4	74.2	4.04	57.4	52.5
Tegan Young	F	34	26.8	6.4	4.2	1.2	0.9	0.2	1.1	6.3	5.7	36	29	1.2	1.9	37.6	24.3	71.7	-3.01	46.9	43.7
Victoria Baker	G	31	16.4	3.8	2.1	0.8	0.8	0.2	1.3	3.3	3.1	3	28	0.1	0.3	40.6	30.2	63.6	-1.94	51.5	48.5
Emmy Ersdala	G	33	11.5	2.5	2.0	0.7	0.4	0.0	0.7	2.4	2.6	-40	28	-1.4	-5.8	39.7	28.6	72.7	-4.38	50.7	48.7
Sophie Lentfer	G	30	10.1	2.3	1.7	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.6	2.1	1.9	-30	25	-1.2	-5.0	33.9	30.6	78.9	-3.26	48.3	42.7
Carrington Davis	G	19	4.9	1.1	0.9	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.5	1.2	0.7	-31	14	-2.2	-16.2	31.8	25.0	54.5	-4.29	39.1	34.1
Theoni Tsami	F	25	4.6	1.1	1.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.4	0.9	1.2	-59	21	-2.8	-24.9	36.4	42.9	50.0	-6.88	46.5	43.2
Sahana Kanagasabay	G	2	3.5	1.0	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	1.0	-	-	-	-	100.0	0	0	-	100.0	100.0
Ally Fitzgerald	F	1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	0	0	0	-	0	0
Helen Matthews	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1973 located field-goal attempts in 34 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Ryann BennettNya EppsAvery SussexMegan NorrisEmmy Ersdala

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	334-573	58.3	668	Ryann Bennett 26% (176 pts)	Megan Norris 23% (156 pts)	Nya Epps 27% (64 misses)	Megan Norris 24% (57 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	142-320	44.4	284	Nya Epps 28% (80 pts)	Ryann Bennett 20% (58 pts)	Nya Epps 31% (55 misses)	Ryann Bennett 19% (34 misses)
Mid-range left	13-38	34.2	26	Avery Sussex 38% (10 pts)	Ryann Bennett 38% (10 pts)	Ryann Bennett 40% (10 misses)	Nya Epps 28% (7 misses)
Mid-range center	19-50	38.0	38	Ryann Bennett 42% (16 pts)	Avery Sussex 26% (10 pts)	Ryann Bennett 48% (15 misses)	Avery Sussex 13% (4 misses)
Mid-range right	14-51	27.5	28	Ryann Bennett 36% (10 pts)	Megan Norris 14% (4 pts)	Ryann Bennett 38% (14 misses)	Nya Epps 27% (10 misses)
Left corner 3	34-106	32.1	102	Avery Sussex 32% (33 pts)	Nya Epps 29% (30 pts)	Nya Epps 33% (24 misses)	Avery Sussex 18% (13 misses)
Right corner 3	24-78	30.8	72	Nya Epps 33% (24 pts)	Avery Sussex 25% (18 pts)	Emmy Ersdala 19% (10 misses)	Nya Epps 17% (9 misses)
Above-break 3 left	99-303	32.7	297	Avery Sussex 30% (90 pts)	Nya Epps 20% (60 pts)	Avery Sussex 34% (69 misses)	Nya Epps 23% (46 misses)
Above-break 3 center	65-211	30.8	195	Megan Norris 34% (66 pts)	Avery Sussex 26% (51 pts)	Megan Norris 28% (41 misses)	Ryann Bennett 20% (29 misses)
Above-break 3 right	69-243	28.4	207	Avery Sussex 28% (57 pts)	Ryann Bennett 25% (51 pts)	Ryann Bennett 22% (38 misses)	Avery Sussex 21% (37 misses)