Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bennett | 39 | 9-19 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| N. Epps | 38 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| M. Norris | 36 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A. Sussex | 32 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| T. Young | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| V. Baker | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Ersdala | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Lentfer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sahana Kanagasabay | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Fitzgerald | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Guiney | 40 | 9-18 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 13 | - |
| I. Finley | 36 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Sta. Maria | 35 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| M. Fiso | 29 | 3-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Green | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | - |
| S. Harmon | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Preston | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | - |
| I. Belegante | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter