Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | -0.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +4.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +8 (69-61). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Norris * | 38 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ryann Bennett * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Avery Sussex * | 35 | 3-14 | 3-9 | 7-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Nya Epps * | 34 | 4-15 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Tegan Young * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -20.8 |
| Victoria Baker | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Emmy Ersdala | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Sophie Lentfer | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Carrington Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoe Borter * | 40 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Zoe Shaw * | 39 | 9-16 | 7-13 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Maddie Naro * | 38 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Olivia Bradley * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Julia Puente-Valverde * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Chauncey Andersen | 25 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Grant | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter