Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | +0.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +1.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -10 (47-57). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Powell * | 37 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gabi Fields * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Neenah George * | 27 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Tatum West * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Lele Tanuvasa * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Julia Riley | 27 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Heather Baymon | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Aniah Hall | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Ruthie Loomis-Goltl | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Claire Fraser | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryann Bennett * | 39 | 6-15 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Megan Norris * | 37 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Avery Sussex * | 32 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Nya Epps * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -6 | - |
| Tegan Young * | 16 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -15.1 |
| Victoria Baker | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Sophie Lentfer | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Emmy Ersdala | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Theoni Tsami | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter