Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -10 (47-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Powell | 37 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +7.8 |
| Gabi Fields | 33 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | +7.7 |
| Julia Riley | 27 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +8.5 |
| Neenah George | 27 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 6 | +10.3 |
| Heather Baymon | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +6.5 |
| Tatum West | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | +8.5 |
| Aniah Hall | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Ruthie Loomis-Goltl | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4.8 |
| Lele Tanuvasa | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Claire Fraser | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryann Bennett | 39 | 6-15 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | -12.3 |
| Megan Norris | 37 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 8 | -8.6 |
| Nya Epps | 32 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -6 | -15.3 |
| Avery Sussex | 32 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -8.2 |
| Victoria Baker | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Tegan Young | 16 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -13.8 |
| Sophie Lentfer | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Emmy Ersdala | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.2 |
| Theoni Tsami | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.3 |
* = starter