Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.8% | 18.2% | -8.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -19 (66-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nya Epps | 32 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +11.7 |
| Megan Norris | 32 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 23 | +19.5 |
| Ryann Bennett | 31 | 12-17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | +13.0 |
| Avery Sussex | 29 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +12.1 |
| Tegan Young | 27 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +17.1 |
| Victoria Baker | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Emmy Ersdala | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4.3 |
| Theoni Tsami | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Sophie Lentfer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.6 |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saray White | 31 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | +0.4 |
| Laini Dahlin | 27 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -16.0 |
| Jite Gbemuotor | 25 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-6 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | -3.8 |
| Kelly Tumlin | 24 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -12.0 |
| Rita Nazario | 22 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -11.5 |
| Erika Aspajo | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -6.9 |
| Amya Moody | 16 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +1.6 |
| Nadia Bernard | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -9.1 |
| Morgan Edwards | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -7.7 |
| Mariona Cos-Morales | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Maya Contreras | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
* = starter