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2025-11-29

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Milwaukee Panthers Spread Result
Elo 91.0% 9.0% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 86.8% 13.2% - βœ“
Margin 88.9% 11.1% -11.5 βœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 77.8% 22.2% - βœ“
Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.4% 8.6% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 91.3% 8.7% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 72.1% 27.9% - βœ“

Actual: Milwaukee Panthers -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryann Bennett 36 7-13 3-8 2-2 2 7 1 0 4 19 12 +7.2
Megan Norris 33 6-10 3-5 2-2 15 3 1 0 3 17 23 +15.2
Nya Epps 28 4-7 2-5 0-0 1 3 3 0 3 10 7 +11.0
Tegan Young 26 2-7 2-3 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 6 7 +4.3
Emmy Ersdala 21 1-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -1 +0.2
Sophie Lentfer 19 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 8 7 -3.1
Victoria Baker 18 0-0 0-0 5-6 2 1 2 0 1 5 9 -1.6
Avery Sussex 8 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 6 +12.0
Theoni Tsami 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -5.0
Carrington Davis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -9.1

Milwaukee Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jorey Buwalda 28 7-18 1-4 4-5 8 1 0 0 0 19 10 -5.0
Payton Rechlicz 27 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 5 1 -16.9
Jada Williams 26 2-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 5 4 -9.8
Tierney Madigan 23 3-5 0-1 7-8 9 2 4 0 3 13 20 -0.3
Rita Gomes 15 3-10 3-9 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 9 1 +5.9
Micayla Silas 14 2-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -12.1
Kendall Barnes 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 4 1 0 0 5 8 +3.1
Sophia Rampulla 13 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 2 -0.6
Madison Fitzgibbon 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 3 2 +7.5
Grace Lomen 11 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 2 -9.9
Izzy Pugh 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.7
Valérie Cassidy-De Falco 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -5.3
Cece McNair 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2

* = starter