Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | +7.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +6 (70-64). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxine Sutisna | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kya Pearson * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Talia Maxwell * | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -3.2 |
| Cristina Jones * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Maddy Tauro * | 29 | 7-19 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Dylan Swindle * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Jana Falsdottir | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -6.6 |
| Madelynn Muniz | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.6 |
| Nicole Steiner | 11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Mimi Moon | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.3 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Norris * | 39 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 21 | +7.9 |
| Ryann Bennett * | 38 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -0.8 |
| Nya Epps * | 37 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Avery Sussex * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 7 | +15.5 |
| Tegan Young * | 35 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +0.8 |
| Victoria Baker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -4.3 |
| Sophie Lentfer | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.5 |
* = starter