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2026-01-22

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UC San Diego Tritons Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% - โœ—
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 โœ— (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 27.6% 72.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 22.9% 77.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 22.9% 77.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.8% 64.2% - โœ—

Actual: UC San Diego Tritons -4 (62-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nya Epps 38 2-6 1-2 1-2 4 3 0 0 5 6 2 -
Megan Norris 38 9-13 2-4 3-4 16 3 3 3 3 23 32 -
Avery Sussex 32 2-8 1-5 3-4 5 3 0 0 1 8 7 -
Ryann Bennett 32 4-11 1-6 1-2 1 3 2 0 3 10 2 -
Tegan Young 31 4-9 2-4 1-3 9 3 1 0 1 11 14 -
Victoria Baker 16 2-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 3 5 2 -
Emmy Ersdala 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Sophie Lentfer 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

UC San Diego Tritons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rosa Smith 40 4-14 3-10 4-5 5 2 1 0 3 15 6 -
Dymonique Maxie 40 1-6 0-2 1-2 3 4 3 1 2 3 6 -
Makayla Rose 40 5-14 1-4 1-2 7 1 6 0 2 12 10 -
Erin Condron 38 9-18 1-1 2-2 10 4 4 0 1 21 20 -
Sabrina Ma 32 4-14 1-9 2-2 6 0 1 0 0 11 4 -
Lev Feiman 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Damilola Sule 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter