Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.3 | ✓ (23.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.4 | ✓ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +31 (73-42). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Norris | 36 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 22 | -14.3 |
| Ryann Bennett | 33 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4 | -18.1 |
| Tegan Young | 29 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -10.2 |
| Avery Sussex | 27 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | -9.2 |
| Nya Epps | 23 | 2-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -4 | -22.1 |
| Victoria Baker | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -16.8 |
| Carrington Davis | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Emmy Ersdala | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -9.5 |
| Sophie Lentfer | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Theoni Tsami | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.6 |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jada Wynn | 36 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 23 | +21.3 |
| Lauryn Madsen | 35 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +26.4 |
| Hunter Hernandez | 34 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | +23.6 |
| Naomy Zonzon-Huyghe | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +12.3 |
| Nohe'alani Stores | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +13.0 |
| Summah Hanson | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +13.8 |
| Ameerah Grant | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Shirel Nahum | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.5 |
| Daniela Falcon Hernandez | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -7.6 |
| Kianna Wormly | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Reese Noa | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Haley Hernandez | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
* = starter