Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +9 (65-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Wickstrom | 39 | 12-20 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 18 | +1.6 |
| Bria Shine | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -5.9 |
| Kaylani Polk | 34 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -0.3 |
| Seneca Hackley | 31 | 1-14 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | -20.9 |
| Maya Chocano | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +7.2 |
| Taylor Swanson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -16.7 |
| Makayla Minshall | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Maria Mejia | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Lucia Moreno Tallon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.8 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryann Bennett | 39 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | +8.3 |
| Avery Sussex | 36 | 7-18 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | +13.1 |
| Megan Norris | 35 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | +16.5 |
| Tegan Young | 32 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Nya Epps | 30 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | +5.5 |
| Victoria Baker | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9.4 |
| Emmy Ersdala | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter